He makes his predictions based on 13 true/false statements that he says indicate whether the incumbent party will retain the white house or lose it in a given election. Detailed national-level presidential election results for 2012 home 2018 election results election info weblog forum wiki search email login site info store note: the google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. A bayesian prediction model for the us presidential election tion here, our belief about the outcome of the election will be based on alabama and new york over 5 election years (1984-2000) quite clearly, a state’s partisan tendency is a useful and informative prior.
In california a look at the aftermath of the sudden death of princess diana1) march, a research on the campus carry bill devoted to providing safety on the college campuses of florida 2006 an analysis of civic war in america the geography and climate of barbados 40 (volume 20, no contact the similarities between maupassants the necklace and lawrences the rocking horse us an analysis of the. The new york times fivethirtyeight live coverage: alabama and mississippi primaries by nate silver (and mr santorum had trailed slightly in pre-election polls of alabama) prediction markets have a lot of advantages when considering how the momentum might shift in a race — for instance, they can consider demographic data. We collected presidential election predictions from several popular sources new york times ’ the upshot, election outcomes in a few battleground states.
The new data clearly demonstrates the growing political status of unmarried women from 1978 to last year there were 277 million unmarried women of voting age in 1978 and 568 million in 2014 —an increase of more than 29 million. Live election night forecast our live forecast starts with our final polls-based predictions and gets updated as races are called president senate chance of winning presidency expected electoral votes ← swipe chance of winning each race alabama new york ★ 29 electoral votes. Detailed national results of us presidential elections from 1789 through 2012, us senate and gubernatorial elections since 1990 site includes election data, county maps and state maps, charts state and county results from 1892 through 2012. Voting rates in the united states, by age group and education level 2014 this statistic shows the voting rate amongst adults of different age groups and levels of education in the united states as. According to a report tuesday in new york magazine, a group of computer scientists and election lawyers have approached the hillary clinton campaign with evidence they believe suggests the.
Quickfacts alabama quickfacts provides statistics for all states and counties, and for cities and towns with a population of 5,000 or more. Shortly after fivethirtyeight relocated to the new york times, silver introduced his prediction models for the 2010 elections to the us senate, the us house of representatives, and state governorships each of these models relied initially on a combination of electoral history, demographics, and polling. Voting rate for the black population dropped in the 2016 election new census bureau data looks at voter turnout in the november 2016 presidential election by race, hispanic origin, age and other demographic characteristics.
Two rounds of us elections based on twitter volume and to use twitter and google trends for predictions of real world outcomes and external market events what about the compared to professional pollsters (eg, the new york times), the predictions were far worse and, in some groups. New report: demographics & voting trends of key 2018 groups the bottom-scoring state was alabama, with 49% in their interactive data feature, you can view each state’s scores on all of the individual indicators, a ranked list of single women could determine the outcome of the presidential election and us senate races down-ballot. Last year, from projections based on the 2013 estimates, the crystal ball’s kyle kondik took a look at the future shape of the house, and most of those observations remain true in the face of new numbers one year later. You will love this site if you: (1) want accurate national election predictions, (2) are a political junkie, (3) don't have the time to track the campaigns, and/or (4) crave an informed overview of where things stand.
Surveymonkey has been polling around the 2017 elections in virginia, new jersey and now alabama to help refine our techniques for representing likely electorates. Demographics of how groups voted in the 1992 presidential election [1992 thru 2008 data] presidential race - 2012 election center - elections & politics from cnncom [2012 data] now let's analyze the twenty-year trend to project the 2016 electorate. First, a new report projects presidential election outcomes from 2016 through 2032 based on likely racial and age demographics and a range of possible turnout and support patterns.